Key Metrics
14.7
Heat Index-
Impact LevelMedium
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Scope LevelNational
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Last Update2025-11-27
Key Impacts
Positive Impacts (2)
Event Overview
The poll indicates a closely contested special election with a slight edge for the Republican candidate among older voters, while the Democratic candidate leads among younger and early voters. The race reflects demographic voting patterns and highlights the narrow margins in this district.
Collect Records
Tennessee's 7th District Special Election Poll Shows Close Race
A recent Emerson College Polling/The Hill survey for the 2025 special election in Tennessee's 7th District shows a close race, with 48% of voters supporting Republican Matt Van Epps and 46% backing Democrat Aftyn Behn. When including leaners, Van Epps leads with 49% support, while Behn has 47%. Early voters favor Behn, 56% to 42%, but Van Epps leads among Election Day voters (51% to 39%). Van Epps' support increases with age, reaching 61% among those over 70, while Behn is more popular with younger voters, with 64% of under-40s supporting her. There's a significant gender divide: men favor Van Epps by 9 points (51% to 42%), while women favor Behn by 6 points (50% to 44%). Both candidates have similar favorable (47%) and unfavorable (41%) ratings among voters. The economy is the top concern for 38% of voters, with 48% of these voters planning to support Van Epps and 44% supporting Behn. President Trump's approval rating in the district has dropped to 47%, with a 49% disapproval rate, largely due to a drop in support among independents, with 59% disapproving and only 34% approving.