Key Metrics
11.65
Heat Index-
Impact LevelMedium
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Scope LevelNational
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Last Update2025-08-22
Key Impacts
Positive Impacts (9)
Negative Impacts (2)
Event Overview
Signals from central bank leadership regarding potential interest rate adjustments can trigger immediate shifts in financial markets, reflecting sensitivity to monetary policy outlooks. Movements in government bond yields often illustrate investor responses to expectations about inflation and economic stability. Policy communication from high-profile venues intensifies market attention, influencing investment behavior, perceptions of risk, and broader financial conditions.
Collect Records
US Treasury Yields Fall as Powell Opens Door to September Rate Cut
US Treasury prices rose and yields fell after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell cautiously signaled the possibility of an interest rate cut in September, citing persistent inflation concerns alongside rising risks in the labor market. Yields across maturities declined, with the two-year Treasury yield dropping as much as 7 basis points and the benchmark 10-year yield falling to 4.27%. In prepared remarks for the annual Jackson Hole symposium in Wyoming, Powell stated, “Stable unemployment and other labor market indicators allow us to proceed cautiously as we consider changes in policy stance.” Following his comments, traders increased their bets on a 25 basis point rate cut by the Fed in September. Interest rate swaps indicated the likelihood of a rate cut rose to over 85%, compared to about 65% before Powell’s speech. Valentin Marinov, head of G-10 FX research and strategy at Crédit Agricole, said, “Powell's remarks sound somewhat dovish, suggesting that the risk focus is shifting from sticky US inflation to a weaker labor market, further paving the way for a September rate cut.”